- NIFTY OUTLOOK: CMP 25103.2
- Dear Friends,
- As discussed yesterday, market behaviour followed expected lines. Nifty respected its bullish momentum, successfully crossed 25070, and made an intraday high before settling at 25103.2.
- A small bearish candle on the daily chart indicates waning buying pressure and signals possible profit booking. If this continues, support may emerge around 25040–24976. A break below this zone may drag Nifty to 24913–24850.
- However, near-term sentiment remains positive. If Nifty crosses 25170, it may rally up to 25230–25293. Further strength could push it to 25356.
- BANK NIFTY OUTLOOK
- Spot: 56839.6 | PCR: 1.00 | Max CE OI: 56000 | Max PE OI: 56000
- On 9th June 2025, Bank Nifty closed at 56839.6, up 0.46%. The index moved 256.80 points, making a high of 57049.50 and a low of 56792.70.
- Technical View (Daily Chart):
- Resistance at 57300 and support at 56200. A breakout above 57300 may lead to 57900, while a breach of 56200 may take it down to 55800.
- RSI is at 69.30 (above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold).
- SMA Analysis:
- Bank Nifty is trading above all 8 SMAs (5, 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, 150, 200-day).
- No candlestick pattern identified.
- Note:
- US-China trade talks resume today, focusing on export controls, especially rare earths. The discussions are crucial as China’s exports to the US plunged 34.5% in May—the steepest drop since February 2020.
- Investors are watching closely, hoping for a breakthrough to ease global supply chain disruptions and improve economic sentiment.
- Oil prices edged higher as traders await the outcome of these talks, anticipating a positive shift that may boost global demand.
- Meanwhile, tensions continue between the US and Iran over nuclear deal terms, with disagreement over uranium enrichment being a key sticking point.
- Contributed by
- Ashok bhandari : INH000019549
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- BEAT THE STREET BULLETIN
- Date: 10-June-2025
- Telegram: \[t.me/beatthestreet10]
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- NEW PROJECTS / EXPANSIONS
- *AAYUSH WELLNESS*: To set up wholly owned subsidiary in Singapore for ASEAN expansion; initial investment SGD 10,000.
- *JUPITER WAGONS*: Jupiter Electric Mobility opens 1st e-LCV showroom in Bengaluru; launches 1.05-ton JEM TEZ, begins pan-India rollout. Pithampur plant operational; ties with Porter, Pulse Energy for EV ecosystem.
- *TATA POWER*: TP Solar crosses 4 GW solar module milestone at Tamil Nadu unit; targets 3.7 GW cell & 3.725 GW module output in FY26.
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- STAKE CHANGES / SHARE TRANSACTIONS
- *APOLLO PIPES*: Raises stake in Kisan Mouldings from 57.59% to 58.60% via ₹4.95 Cr secondary equity purchase.
- *NYKAA*: Hikes stake in Earth Rhythm to 75.83% with ₹5 Cr second tranche on June 9; strengthens clean beauty portfolio.
- *MAHINDRA*: Raises stake in MMFSL to 52.49% via ₹1,652 Cr rights issue allotment at ₹194/share.
- *WIPRO*: Azim Premji Trust sells 20.23 Cr shares worth ₹5,057 Cr via block deal. Buyers: Hasham & Prazim Traders (Premji family arms).
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- FUNDRAISING / QIP
- *CAPRI GLOBAL*: Launches QIP at ₹153.93 floor price; plans to raise up to ₹2,000 Cr incl. ₹500 Cr upsize option. Indicative price ₹146.5/share.
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- REGULATORY / LEGAL / TAX
- *NUVOCO VISTAS*: Gets ₹16.66 Cr entry tax demand from Chhattisgarh for FY03–06; to challenge as arbitrary & outdated.
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- M\&A / STRUCTURAL CHANGES
- *WPIL*: Completes 55% acquisition of South Africa’s PCI Africa via WPIL SA; expands in African water infra market.
- *ANTONY WASTE*: NCLT approves merger of 100% subsidiary AG Enviro; no share dilution, structure simplification.
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- LEADERSHIP CHANGES
- *OBEROI REALTY*: CEO – Commercial Real Estate resigns effective June 9.
- *ACME SOLAR*: Group CHRO Ravi Parmeshwar resigns; Gopalji Mehrotra appointed effective June 9.
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- BANKING / LICENSING
- *JANA SMALL FINANCE BANK*: Applies to RBI for universal bank license on June 9, 2025; aligns with RBI guidelines.
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- BOARD MEETINGS / CORPORATE ACTIONS
- *ORCHID PHARMA*: Sets June 19 record date for shareholder vote on Dhanuka Labs merger; vote scheduled June 26.
- *QUESS CORP*: Demerged units Digitide & Bluspring to list on June 11; part of strategic restructuring.
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- DEFENCE / GOVERNMENT ORDERS
- *BEL & BDL*: Indian Army to receive ₹30,000 Cr QRSAM air defence missile systems under revised acquisition plan.
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- STAY UPDATED WITH BEAT THE STREET
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- JP Morgan On Coforge
- Remains Overweight with target price of Rs 2,080
- Confident about industry leading growth while sharply expanding margins
- Management was bullish with no signs of any of the macro concerns plaguing peers
- Large deals won in FY25 and locked in and a pipeline that remains strong
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- Citi On Britannia
- Retains buy revises target price to Rs 6,500 (vs. Rs 6,200 earlier)
- Marginally raises FY26-28E earnings estimates for Britannia by 0-1%
- Tweaks margin assumptions higher
- Expects profitability expansion driven by lower commodity costs
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- MCON RASAYAN INDIA: Europlus One Realty Pvt Ltd bought 0.37 lakh shares (1.18% stake) at ₹113.91/share in a large NSE trade.
- Indicates institutional confidence; sentiment boost likely.
- @beatthestreet10
- AUTO: India explores alternatives as China tightens rare earth magnet exports; controls 90% of global supply.
- Auto, EV sectors face supply risk; potential cost pressures and delays loom.
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- Bernstein on Sona BLW
- Downgrade to market perform, TP Rs 540
- With significant US exposure & bulk of its order book tied to EVs, see risk of earnings downgrades, which could cap further upside
- Co’s largest customer, US EV OEM(15–20% of rev ), has been losing share.
- With 77% of the order book tied to EVs and 40% of revenues from US, delays in OEM investments could slow execution
- Lower FY27–28 Auto estimates by 4–5%
- Trump–Elon tensions, proposed “big, beautiful” bill phasing out EV subsidies, ongoing US–India trade issues, & rising strength of Chinese OEMs all present near-term risks
- @beatthestreet10
- CLSA on Telecom
- RJio gains 92bps share in 4
- Duo has 81% of sector rev
- Sector rev up 13% YoY in FY25; Bharti Airtel leads growth
- VI lost 1.6ppt YoY share to 14.1%
- With awaited fund raising of VIdea, expect top two’s combined share to rise to 85% by FY27
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- MOTILAL OSWAL ON TATA MOTORS
- Neutral, target retained at ₹690
- Execution key amidst weak CV/PV demand; JLR headwinds persist
- Ambitious FY27 targets: 40% CV share with EBITDA in teens, 16% PV share with double-digit margins
- Demerger timelines on track; refrain from estimate changes due to lack of triggers
- PV target of 16% share by FY27 and 18-20% in 2-3 years hinges on new launches
- Challenges persist in CV/PV execution amid cost 3900 pressures and demand concerns
- JLR faces risks from US tariffs, weak China/Europe demand, and rising costs
- Management refrains from FY26 guidance; expect 100bp margin compression at JLR by FY27
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- ANTIQUE ON GODREJ PROPERTIES
- Buy, target raised to ₹3,101 vs ₹2,745
- Consistent execution across cycles; strong pipeline and BD firepower in place
- FY25 bookings hit all-time high at ₹294.4 Bn; 40% CAGR in bookings over FY17-25
- Economic interest in booked business rose from 39% in FY19 to 93% in FY25, boosting profitability and OCF (56.7% CAGR in FY20-25), QIP proceeds of ₹60 Bn and record OCF add muscle for future BD
- Strong firepower and launch pipeline for FY26
- FY26 BD guidance at ₹200 Bn; pre-sales pipeline at ₹400 Bn, pre-sales estimate revised up by 2%/11% to ₹330 Bn/370 Bn for FY26/27
- Unsold inventory >200 Bn; launches diversified across MMR, NCR, Bengaluru, Pune, Ahmedabad, and Hyderabad
- Strategic market spread enables growth, largest or second-largest developer across top 4 markets-NCR (36%), MMR (27%), Bengaluru (17%), continues to benefit from sector tailwinds with robust launch visibility in 2HFY26
- @beatthestreet10
- MORGAN STANLEY ON GRASIM INDUSTRIES
- Upgrade to Overweight from Equal-weight and upgrade target price to ₹3,500 vs ₹2,975
- Top Pick in coverage
- Multiple opportunities in play
- Paints business has fared better than expected since launch
- Next leg of paints value unlocking in play
- UltraTech remains the largest value driver for Grasim, and the company should benefit from a multi-year earnings compounding story at UTCEM
- New-age businesses are scaling up fast, driving earnings and value optionality
- Holdco discounts could moderate further when paints business scales up
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